UD Melilla vs San Fernando CD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.7%
17.1%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
ALM
0 - 2
MEL
41%
27%
32%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
MEL
1 - 0
RJA
44%
29%
27%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
CAD
0 - 1
MEL
59%
23%
18%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2012 |
LEV
4 - 1
MEL
86%
11%
3%
|
56 | 84 | 28 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
ROD
2 - 0
MEL
29%
28%
43%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
San Fernando CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 1
ROD
64%
21%
16%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
ARR
0 - 0
SAN
47%
25%
28%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 0
CAR
23%
27%
51%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
SEV
1 - 1
SAN
70%
18%
12%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
SAN
3 - 2
SRQ
35%
26%
39%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | +1 |