UD Melilla vs Recreativo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23%
32.8%
Draw
0-0
16.5%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
32.8%
30.8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1992 |
UDL
3 - 0
MEL
73%
19%
8%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1992 |
SEV
0 - 0
MEL
52%
28%
20%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1992 |
MEL
4 - 1
ECI
49%
30%
21%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 1992 |
GRA
0 - 0
MEL
54%
28%
19%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1992 |
MEL
1 - 1
CDM
54%
29%
17%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Recreativo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 1992 |
REC
0 - 2
SEV
71%
19%
10%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1992 |
ECI
1 - 0
REC
33%
31%
35%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | -2 |
| 28 Nov. 1992 |
REC
0 - 1
GRA
70%
19%
11%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 1992 |
CDM
0 - 1
REC
36%
31%
34%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1992 |
BAL
1 - 1
REC
37%
32%
32%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |