UD Melilla vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.9%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
25.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
CDB
1 - 0
MEL
24%
29%
48%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
MEL
0 - 0
VIL
57%
25%
18%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2018 |
RMA
6 - 1
MEL
93%
6%
1%
|
58 | 93 | 35 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
SAN
0 - 1
MEL
19%
29%
52%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
MEL
2 - 1
SEV
43%
29%
28%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
MUR
2 - 0
MAL
75%
17%
8%
|
54 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
ALM
1 - 3
MUR
21%
25%
54%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
MUR
1 - 1
JUM
58%
25%
18%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
UCA
2 - 1
MUR
50%
27%
23%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
MUR
1 - 2
CAR
47%
29%
24%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |