UD Melilla vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19%
31.1%
Draw
0-0
14.3%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.1%
40.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
15.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
BET
3 - 1
MEL
32%
25%
43%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
MEL
1 - 1
CAD
28%
28%
45%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
VIL
2 - 0
MEL
41%
27%
32%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
MEL
1 - 3
CRD
57%
24%
19%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
CAR
2 - 2
MEL
56%
24%
20%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
RJA
1 - 1
LOR
62%
23%
15%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
UCA
1 - 0
RJA
27%
31%
42%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
RJA
3 - 1
GRA
66%
22%
12%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
MAR
1 - 1
RJA
17%
30%
53%
|
65 | 43 | 22 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
RJA
1 - 1
ROD
75%
18%
7%
|
65 | 46 | 19 | 0 |