UD Melilla vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.7%
29.3%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.3%
36.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1996 |
MAL
4 - 0
MEL
75%
17%
8%
|
49 | 70 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1996 |
MEL
0 - 2
GRA
47%
27%
26%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 1996 |
UDS
1 - 0
MEL
34%
31%
35%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1996 |
MEL
0 - 0
LOR
62%
22%
15%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 1996 |
XER
1 - 1
MEL
48%
28%
24%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1996 |
RJA
2 - 0
BEN
59%
24%
17%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1996 |
ELC
0 - 0
RJA
55%
25%
20%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1996 |
RJA
1 - 0
UTR
75%
18%
7%
|
56 | 33 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1996 |
VEL
1 - 2
RJA
31%
28%
42%
|
55 | 38 | 17 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 1996 |
RJA
0 - 2
CCF
47%
27%
26%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |