UD Melilla vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
+2
7.7%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.3%
32.5%
Draw
0-0
16%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
32.5%
37%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
15.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1994 |
ALM
1 - 0
MEL
71%
19%
10%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1994 |
MEL
3 - 2
REA
35%
29%
36%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1994 |
CPC
1 - 1
MEL
66%
22%
13%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 1994 |
MEL
0 - 0
UDL
22%
30%
48%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1994 |
REC
1 - 0
MEL
68%
20%
11%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1994 |
RJA
2 - 0
MAS
80%
15%
6%
|
52 | 30 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1994 |
SEV
1 - 2
RJA
38%
30%
32%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1994 |
RJA
3 - 1
SRQ
74%
18%
8%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 1994 |
MAL
0 - 0
RJA
34%
30%
36%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 1994 |
RJA
1 - 1
EXT
46%
27%
27%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |