UD Melilla vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.3%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
20.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1953 |
CAT
2 - 0
MEL
65%
18%
17%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1953 |
MUR
1 - 3
MEL
61%
19%
20%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 1953 |
RJA
5 - 0
MEL
60%
18%
22%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -2 |
| 15 Mar. 1953 |
MEL
0 - 0
UDL
46%
22%
32%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1953 |
MEL
3 - 0
CPC
82%
11%
7%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1953 |
RJA
4 - 3
MLL
66%
18%
17%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1953 |
RJA
1 - 3
GRA
67%
17%
17%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -2 |
| 21 Mar. 1953 |
PUL
2 - 2
RJA
53%
22%
26%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1953 |
RJA
5 - 0
MEL
60%
18%
22%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +2 |
| 15 Mar. 1953 |
BAL
2 - 1
RJA
58%
20%
22%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | -1 |