UD Melilla vs Puertollano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
20%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
SRQ
0 - 1
MEL
41%
29%
30%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
MEL
2 - 2
LOR
68%
20%
12%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
VIL
1 - 4
MEL
32%
27%
41%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
MEL
2 - 2
CAD
28%
26%
46%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
SEV
1 - 0
MEL
55%
24%
22%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Puertollano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2011 |
CDT
0 - 0
PUE
30%
25%
46%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
PUE
1 - 1
ALM
55%
25%
20%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
ROQ
0 - 3
PUE
38%
27%
36%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
PUE
4 - 0
ECI
51%
26%
23%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
LUC
3 - 3
PUE
55%
24%
21%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |