UD Melilla vs Poli Almería analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.6%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
29%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2000 |
XER
1 - 0
MEL
54%
26%
20%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2000 |
MEL
1 - 0
POL
54%
26%
20%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2000 |
COR
2 - 0
MEL
33%
29%
38%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2000 |
MEL
1 - 0
ECI
51%
27%
22%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2000 |
MOT
1 - 1
MEL
50%
26%
24%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Poli Almería
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2000 |
POL
0 - 0
SFE
59%
25%
16%
|
55 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2000 |
GRA
1 - 1
POL
59%
24%
17%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2000 |
POL
0 - 0
BAL
56%
26%
18%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2000 |
POL
2 - 0
CDL
57%
25%
18%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2000 |
ALG
1 - 0
POL
32%
28%
40%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | 0 |