Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 5-2
UD Melilla vs Poli Almería analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.2%
15.5%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 1993 |
MEL
2 - 0
XER
26%
34%
40%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1993 |
POL
0 - 0
MEL
54%
28%
18%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1993 |
REC
0 - 3
MEL
72%
19%
9%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | +3 |
| 29 Apr. 1993 |
MEL
0 - 0
EXT
25%
34%
42%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1993 |
MEL
0 - 0
UDL
20%
30%
50%
|
38 | 59 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
Poli Almería
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 1993 |
POL
3 - 0
UBE
81%
14%
6%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1993 |
CRM
0 - 5
POL
15%
25%
59%
|
31 | 11 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1993 |
POL
3 - 2
MAR
78%
16%
7%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1993 |
JUV
1 - 3
POL
19%
27%
54%
|
30 | 16 | 14 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 1993 |
POL
1 - 1
GRA
84%
12%
4%
|
30 | 16 | 14 | 0 |