Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 10-4
UD Melilla vs Martos CD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.2%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.7%
8.1%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1990 |
MEL
0 - 0
MER
63%
23%
14%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1990 |
CCF
1 - 0
MEL
42%
31%
27%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 1990 |
MEL
2 - 0
CDB
74%
18%
8%
|
57 | 29 | 28 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1990 |
MAR
2 - 6
MEL
37%
32%
31%
|
56 | 22 | 34 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 1990 |
CDB
1 - 1
MEL
34%
34%
32%
|
57 | 36 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Martos CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1990 |
MMA
1 - 2
MAR
50%
28%
22%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1990 |
MAR
2 - 0
MAR
55%
23%
22%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 1990 |
BAE
0 - 0
MAR
37%
27%
36%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 1990 |
MAR
2 - 6
MEL
37%
32%
31%
|
22 | 56 | 34 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1990 |
MAR
0 - 4
RJA
21%
27%
52%
|
23 | 41 | 18 | -1 |