UD Melilla vs Lorca Deportiva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
37.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
GRA
0 - 0
MEL
52%
26%
22%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
MEL
3 - 2
LUC
58%
25%
17%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2008 |
TAL
0 - 0
MEL
39%
29%
33%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2008 |
RJA
2 - 0
MEL
39%
30%
31%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
MEL
1 - 1
ALG
68%
21%
12%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
LOR
2 - 1
ECI
54%
24%
23%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
PUE
0 - 1
LOR
42%
28%
31%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2008 |
LOR
0 - 1
CDL
55%
24%
21%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2008 |
LOR
0 - 3
AGD
69%
20%
11%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
BET
0 - 1
LOR
31%
28%
41%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |