UD Melilla vs Larache analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
19.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1948 |
BAL
2 - 1
MEL
78%
12%
10%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1948 |
ALG
3 - 2
MEL
68%
15%
16%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 1948 |
MEL
2 - 2
LCF
72%
15%
13%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1948 |
MEL
1 - 1
REC
47%
21%
32%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1948 |
RJA
5 - 2
MEL
63%
18%
20%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Larache
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1948 |
LCF
0 - 1
CAD
50%
21%
29%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1948 |
LCF
2 - 2
BAL
43%
22%
35%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 1948 |
MEL
2 - 2
LCF
72%
15%
13%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1948 |
RJA
7 - 0
LCF
79%
12%
10%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 1948 |
LCF
2 - 1
SDC
31%
21%
48%
|
29 | 49 | 20 | +4 |