UD Melilla vs Larache analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.7%
Win probability
3.04
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.2%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
12.9%
9.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1947 |
CAT
1 - 2
MEL
64%
17%
19%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1947 |
MEL
3 - 0
SDC
37%
22%
41%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | +2 |
| 28 Sep. 1947 |
EME
3 - 1
MEL
26%
21%
52%
|
39 | 18 | 21 | -2 |
| 21 Sep. 1947 |
MEL
5 - 0
SFE
70%
15%
14%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1947 |
SFE
4 - 0
MEL
44%
22%
34%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | -3 |
Matches
Larache
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1947 |
LCF
0 - 1
BAL
56%
20%
25%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1947 |
REC
6 - 0
LCF
87%
8%
5%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 1947 |
LCF
2 - 0
ANT
60%
19%
22%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 1947 |
CAD
1 - 0
LCF
87%
8%
5%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1947 |
LCF
0 - 1
CAD
44%
22%
35%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | -3 |