UD Melilla vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.1%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
31.7%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1950 |
LEV
2 - 0
MEL
77%
13%
10%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1950 |
MEL
6 - 1
ALB
48%
21%
30%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +3 |
| 23 Apr. 1950 |
MEL
5 - 0
XER
72%
15%
13%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 1950 |
REC
4 - 1
MEL
55%
20%
25%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 1950 |
CPC
1 - 2
MEL
44%
22%
35%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1950 |
HER
5 - 1
PUL
64%
19%
17%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1950 |
BAL
3 - 1
HER
48%
22%
31%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 1950 |
PUL
4 - 1
HER
54%
20%
26%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1950 |
HER
3 - 0
ELC
83%
11%
7%
|
63 | 46 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1950 |
CAR
4 - 1
HER
34%
23%
43%
|
64 | 47 | 17 | -1 |