Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 2-3
UD Melilla vs Granada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23%
29%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
30.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1994 |
GRA
3 - 2
MEL
71%
18%
11%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1994 |
MEL
2 - 0
CAD
27%
31%
42%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | +2 |
| 25 Sep. 1994 |
RJA
0 - 1
MEL
70%
20%
10%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 1994 |
MEL
1 - 1
CPC
46%
29%
25%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1994 |
MAN
0 - 0
MEL
31%
32%
37%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Granada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1994 |
GRA
1 - 2
SFE
79%
15%
6%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1994 |
GRA
3 - 2
MEL
71%
18%
11%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1994 |
XER
3 - 3
GRA
59%
24%
17%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 1994 |
GRA
0 - 1
YEC
53%
26%
21%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1994 |
CFC
2 - 2
GRA
53%
28%
20%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |