UD Melilla vs Poli Ejido analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
46.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
MEL
2 - 2
MAR
63%
23%
15%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
CAD
3 - 0
MEL
71%
20%
9%
|
56 | 75 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2008 |
MEL
2 - 0
BET
56%
24%
20%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
ANT
0 - 1
MEL
25%
28%
47%
|
55 | 39 | 16 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
MEL
2 - 1
GRA
48%
26%
26%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Poli Ejido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
SFE
2 - 1
POL
15%
24%
61%
|
70 | 45 | 25 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
POL
3 - 2
UBC
66%
22%
12%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2008 |
POR
2 - 2
POL
14%
25%
61%
|
70 | 47 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
POL
2 - 0
G74
72%
19%
9%
|
70 | 51 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
ROQ
0 - 3
POL
15%
25%
60%
|
70 | 42 | 28 | 0 |