UD Melilla vs Poli Ejido analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.9%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.5%
51.5%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+60%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
MAR
2 - 2
MEL
46%
27%
27%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
MEL
3 - 1
CAD
16%
23%
61%
|
51 | 74 | 23 | +2 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
BET
3 - 1
MEL
45%
27%
28%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
MEL
1 - 1
ANT
70%
19%
11%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
GRA
1 - 0
MEL
48%
26%
26%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Poli Ejido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
POL
0 - 0
SFE
81%
14%
5%
|
72 | 44 | 28 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
UBC
0 - 0
POL
24%
26%
50%
|
73 | 55 | 18 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
POL
4 - 2
POR
80%
15%
5%
|
73 | 45 | 28 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
G74
0 - 2
POL
14%
24%
63%
|
72 | 44 | 28 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
POL
2 - 0
ROQ
77%
16%
7%
|
72 | 49 | 23 | 0 |