UD Melilla vs At. Pulpileño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.6%
17%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
MEL
1 - 1
ALZ
47%
27%
27%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
MAR
2 - 0
MEL
31%
29%
40%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
MEL
0 - 0
INT
39%
28%
33%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
GRA
1 - 0
MEL
48%
27%
26%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
MEL
4 - 1
MAR
69%
20%
11%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
At. Pulpileño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2022 |
PUL
1 - 3
ELD
28%
27%
45%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
PUL
0 - 0
MUR
16%
26%
59%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
HER
3 - 0
PUL
70%
20%
10%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
NUC
2 - 0
PUL
62%
24%
14%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2022 |
PUL
1 - 0
CSP
48%
28%
25%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +1 |