UD Melilla vs CF Villanovense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.6%
16.6%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2004 |
EXT
1 - 1
MEL
54%
25%
20%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
MEL
2 - 1
CPC
49%
27%
25%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
PPJ
1 - 1
MEL
51%
26%
23%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
MEL
3 - 0
COR
48%
28%
25%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2004 |
SEV
0 - 1
MEL
52%
27%
21%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
CF Villanovense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2004 |
VIL
2 - 1
JER
25%
28%
47%
|
38 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
MER
1 - 0
VIL
46%
27%
27%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
VIL
2 - 2
CDB
28%
29%
43%
|
38 | 58 | 20 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
LAN
2 - 0
VIL
70%
17%
13%
|
39 | 56 | 17 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2004 |
VIL
2 - 1
ULP
28%
29%
43%
|
38 | 56 | 18 | +1 |