Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 3-4
UD Melilla vs CD Málaga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.2%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
45.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1988 |
MEL
1 - 0
CFC
35%
30%
35%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1988 |
GAN
1 - 2
MEL
62%
25%
13%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 1988 |
RON
0 - 0
MEL
50%
28%
22%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 1988 |
MEL
2 - 1
OLI
44%
30%
26%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 1988 |
MEL
5 - 0
RON
60%
23%
17%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
CD Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1988 |
MAL
1 - 1
ATH
41%
29%
31%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1988 |
LOG
1 - 0
MAL
58%
24%
18%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 1988 |
MAL
3 - 0
AMA
84%
11%
5%
|
72 | 48 | 24 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1988 |
MAL
2 - 2
CEL
54%
25%
22%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1988 |
MUR
1 - 0
MAL
62%
22%
16%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |