UD Melilla vs CD Don Benito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
15%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.8%
13.1%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2001 |
TAL
1 - 1
MEL
35%
31%
34%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2001 |
MEL
2 - 2
DHE
47%
27%
26%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2001 |
JER
1 - 0
MEL
39%
30%
31%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2001 |
CDL
0 - 1
MEL
40%
29%
31%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2001 |
MEL
2 - 1
SFE
58%
25%
17%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
CD Don Benito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2001 |
DBN
0 - 0
SFE
36%
29%
36%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2001 |
GRA
3 - 2
DBN
64%
23%
13%
|
39 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2001 |
DBN
1 - 2
BAL
36%
28%
36%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2001 |
DBN
1 - 3
XER
27%
28%
45%
|
41 | 60 | 19 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2001 |
POL
1 - 0
DBN
73%
17%
10%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | 0 |