UD Melilla vs CD Castellón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
6%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.2%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
14%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14%
10%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1953 |
CDT
6 - 1
MEL
65%
19%
17%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1953 |
UDL
4 - 0
MEL
65%
19%
16%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 1953 |
XER
3 - 0
MEL
60%
20%
19%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 1953 |
BAL
3 - 0
MEL
59%
20%
21%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1953 |
MEL
2 - 1
CAT
57%
22%
22%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1953 |
CAS
1 - 0
GRA
40%
24%
35%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1953 |
CAS
4 - 1
CDB
70%
16%
14%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 1953 |
HER
3 - 3
CAS
77%
14%
9%
|
47 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1953 |
CAS
2 - 1
MUR
59%
22%
19%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1953 |
VAL
0 - 1
CAS
80%
13%
8%
|
44 | 65 | 21 | +2 |