UD Melilla vs FC Cartagena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.1%
31.5%
Draw
0-0
14.8%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.5%
40%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
15.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
JUM
0 - 2
MEL
26%
27%
47%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
MEL
0 - 1
LPA
49%
27%
24%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
MEL
1 - 0
GRA
34%
29%
37%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
SAN
0 - 2
MEL
44%
27%
30%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
MEL
1 - 2
MAR
42%
29%
29%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
FC Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
CAR
3 - 0
CDE
60%
23%
17%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
REC
2 - 3
CAR
31%
31%
38%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
ECI
0 - 1
CAR
26%
29%
46%
|
56 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
CAR
1 - 0
BAL
55%
24%
21%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
LOR
1 - 2
CAR
24%
29%
47%
|
56 | 37 | 19 | 0 |