UD Melilla vs At. Malagueño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
23.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
GRA
1 - 0
MEL
48%
26%
26%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2007 |
MEL
0 - 0
CER
59%
22%
19%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2007 |
AGD
3 - 0
MEL
45%
30%
25%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -2 |
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
MEL
1 - 1
EXT
59%
22%
18%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2007 |
ALC
0 - 1
MEL
47%
28%
25%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
At. Malagueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
MAL
0 - 2
MAR
37%
28%
35%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2007 |
VIL
1 - 2
MAL
37%
26%
38%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2007 |
MAL
0 - 1
MER
50%
25%
25%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
BAZ
2 - 0
MAL
49%
26%
25%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2007 |
MAL
0 - 1
CAR
37%
27%
36%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | -1 |