UD Melilla vs Alicante analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82%
Win probability
3.3
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.8%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.7%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.8%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.1%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.9%
7.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 1951 |
MEL
3 - 1
PUL
67%
18%
16%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1951 |
LEV
3 - 0
MEL
55%
22%
24%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 1951 |
MEL
4 - 0
MLL
59%
20%
21%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 1951 |
MEL
5 - 1
ATB
78%
13%
10%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 1951 |
MUR
0 - 0
MEL
67%
17%
16%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Alicante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 1951 |
MUR
3 - 0
ALI
75%
15%
11%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1951 |
ALI
2 - 0
RCD
40%
22%
38%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | +2 |
| 02 Dec. 1951 |
GRA
2 - 1
ALI
78%
13%
9%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 1951 |
ALI
0 - 1
HER
49%
22%
30%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1951 |
SLA
1 - 1
ALI
75%
14%
11%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |