UD Melilla vs Algeciras CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.1%
17.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
MEL
2 - 2
MAR
45%
26%
28%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
ALG
1 - 0
MEL
31%
27%
42%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
SRQ
2 - 1
MEL
34%
27%
39%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
MEL
0 - 0
SEV
59%
25%
16%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
CPC
3 - 0
MEL
30%
27%
42%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Algeciras CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
SRQ
2 - 0
ALG
54%
25%
21%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
ALG
1 - 0
MEL
31%
27%
42%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 2015 |
ALG
1 - 0
SEG
63%
22%
16%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 2015 |
SEG
1 - 1
ALG
29%
29%
42%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2015 |
ALG
1 - 0
PXD
67%
21%
13%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | +1 |