UD Melilla vs CD Alcalá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.5%
16%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
MER
2 - 1
MEL
40%
29%
31%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
MEL
2 - 1
AGU
46%
27%
28%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
CAR
1 - 2
MEL
50%
27%
23%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
MEL
2 - 0
BAZ
50%
26%
24%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
MEL
1 - 2
ECI
39%
27%
34%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
CD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
ALC
1 - 1
ECI
22%
26%
52%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
PUE
0 - 0
ALC
61%
22%
17%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
ALC
1 - 3
CDL
24%
28%
48%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
AGD
1 - 0
ALC
57%
25%
17%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
ALC
1 - 2
BET
41%
27%
32%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |