Segunda B Playoffs Quarter-finals
Global 1-2
UD Melilla vs Deportivo Alavés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.1%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
26.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2011 |
MEL
2 - 0
CAD
33%
26%
41%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
AGD
1 - 2
MEL
41%
27%
31%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
ROQ
0 - 1
MEL
41%
27%
32%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
MEL
2 - 0
POL
54%
26%
20%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
SEV
0 - 4
MEL
64%
21%
15%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Deportivo Alavés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2011 |
ALA
1 - 1
ZAM
71%
18%
10%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
CUL
2 - 2
ALA
35%
27%
38%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
ALA
2 - 0
CDG
69%
20%
12%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
LEM
1 - 1
ALA
30%
29%
41%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
ALA
0 - 4
EIB
62%
23%
15%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |