UD Melilla vs Deportivo Alavés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
46.8%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 1962 |
MEL
2 - 1
MUR
45%
26%
30%
|
37 | 58 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1962 |
RJA
2 - 0
MEL
83%
11%
6%
|
37 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1962 |
MEL
0 - 0
REC
43%
25%
32%
|
37 | 59 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1962 |
LEV
2 - 0
MEL
85%
10%
5%
|
37 | 59 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1962 |
HER
2 - 0
MEL
86%
9%
5%
|
37 | 59 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Alavés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 1962 |
ALA
0 - 0
SLA
74%
16%
10%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1962 |
CDO
1 - 0
ALA
59%
23%
19%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 1962 |
ALA
1 - 4
RSO
44%
25%
31%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 1962 |
SPO
3 - 0
ALA
60%
21%
19%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 1962 |
ALA
3 - 1
BUR
75%
16%
9%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | +1 |