UD Melilla vs AgD Ceuta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
28.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2008 |
MEL
1 - 2
RJA
48%
27%
25%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2008 |
ALG
2 - 3
MEL
23%
29%
49%
|
55 | 37 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
MEL
2 - 1
ALC
61%
24%
16%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
MER
2 - 1
MEL
40%
29%
31%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
MEL
2 - 1
AGU
46%
27%
28%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
AgD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2008 |
GIR
1 - 0
AGD
53%
24%
22%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2008 |
AGD
0 - 0
GIR
37%
27%
36%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2008 |
PON
1 - 2
AGD
60%
23%
17%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2008 |
AGD
1 - 1
PON
27%
25%
48%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2008 |
AGD
0 - 2
LOR
45%
28%
27%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |