UD Melilla vs AgD Ceuta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
15%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.1%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
24.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1990 |
MEL
1 - 0
AMA
67%
21%
13%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1990 |
CDT
2 - 1
MEL
47%
30%
24%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1990 |
MEL
0 - 0
LPA
70%
20%
10%
|
53 | 36 | 17 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 1990 |
AMA
3 - 0
MEL
48%
27%
25%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 1990 |
BAL
0 - 0
MEL
42%
31%
27%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
AgD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1990 |
AGD
2 - 1
BAL
73%
17%
10%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1990 |
AGD
1 - 0
BET
68%
20%
12%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1990 |
CDF
0 - 0
AGD
20%
30%
49%
|
52 | 22 | 30 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1990 |
BAL
1 - 4
AGD
46%
27%
27%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 1990 |
AGD
1 - 1
EXT
66%
21%
13%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |