UD Melilla vs AgD Ceuta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
10%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.5%
29.3%
Draw
0-0
12.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.3%
24.1%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 1990 |
CCF
0 - 0
MEL
44%
31%
26%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1990 |
MEL
0 - 0
CDB
53%
27%
20%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 1990 |
MEL
2 - 0
GRA
42%
29%
29%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +2 |
| 04 Feb. 1990 |
SEV
0 - 0
MEL
62%
24%
15%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1990 |
MEL
2 - 1
AMA
63%
24%
14%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
AgD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 1990 |
AGD
1 - 0
TOM
63%
23%
14%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1990 |
AGD
3 - 0
TEL
69%
21%
10%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1990 |
CDT
0 - 3
AGD
26%
31%
43%
|
55 | 24 | 31 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1990 |
AGD
4 - 1
MAR
69%
21%
11%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 1990 |
UTR
0 - 1
AGD
35%
31%
34%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |