Melias vs A Peroxa CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
22.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
CEN
4 - 0
MEL
72%
15%
13%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
MEL
1 - 0
UDB
77%
13%
10%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
SAN
3 - 0
MEL
16%
18%
66%
|
14 | 8 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
MEL
0 - 0
MAC
47%
21%
32%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 3
MEL
67%
19%
15%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
A Peroxa CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
APE
1 - 2
VER
21%
23%
57%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
APE
1 - 3
CEN
23%
20%
57%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
UDB
0 - 0
APE
21%
21%
58%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
APE
4 - 1
SAN
73%
16%
11%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
MAC
0 - 0
APE
63%
19%
18%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |