Melhus vs Tiller IL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.7%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
40.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+65%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
4º
9º
4º
35
3º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
47 | 57 |
1º
|
41.5% | |
|
1º
|
50 | 57 |
2º
|
36.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 53 |
3º
|
87.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
35 | 42 |
4º
|
27.5% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 42 |
5º
|
29.5% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 41 |
6º
|
20.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
35 | 39 |
7º
|
32% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 35 |
8º
|
43% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 32 |
9º
|
27% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 32 |
10º
|
36% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 25 |
11º
|
50.5% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 25 |
12º
|
42.5% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 24 |
13º
|
65.5% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 9 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
RFK
4 - 1
MEL
78%
13%
9%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2024 |
MEL
2 - 2
ROS
45%
21%
34%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2024 |
MEL
2 - 2
BYA
17%
19%
65%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
VER
1 - 4
MEL
46%
24%
30%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
MEL
0 - 3
ORK
49%
22%
30%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Tiller IL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2024 |
TIL
6 - 2
STR
11%
15%
73%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
BYA
1 - 0
TIL
77%
14%
9%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2024 |
TIL
0 - 2
SKT
55%
21%
24%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
LIL
4 - 1
TIL
32%
22%
46%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | -2 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
TIL
4 - 1
SUR
80%
13%
7%
|
27 | 10 | 17 | 0 |