Melhus vs Kolstad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.3%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
3%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.5%
20%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
3.3%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20%
48.7%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
5.4%
3-4
1.9%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
6%
2-4
3.1%
3-5
0.8%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
MEL
1 - 6
IKJ
6%
13%
81%
|
22 | 47 | 25 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
TIL
6 - 1
MEL
66%
19%
16%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
MEL
2 - 2
ORK
46%
21%
33%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
STE
1 - 1
MEL
49%
21%
29%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
MEL
3 - 1
STR
10%
15%
75%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | +3 |
Matches
Kolstad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2023 |
MOS
6 - 1
KOL
38%
21%
41%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
KOL
3 - 2
KBK
47%
21%
32%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
RFK
5 - 2
KOL
70%
15%
15%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
KOL
0 - 6
BYA
17%
18%
65%
|
23 | 42 | 19 | -2 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
TIL
2 - 1
KOL
55%
19%
25%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | -1 |