Melgacense vs Ponte da Barca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
33%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melgacense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
CAC
2 - 1
MEL
60%
21%
19%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
JOA
2 - 1
MEL
66%
19%
15%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
VIL
2 - 1
MEL
69%
18%
13%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
MEL
4 - 1
FAO
53%
23%
24%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
MAR
2 - 1
MEL
54%
23%
24%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Ponte da Barca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
PON
2 - 1
SAN
17%
21%
62%
|
19 | 38 | 19 | 0 |