Melbourne Victory vs Western United FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
28.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melbourne Victory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
MCI
1 - 1
MEL
58%
23%
19%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2022 |
VIS
4 - 3
MEL
62%
21%
18%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2022 |
CCM
1 - 1
MEL
43%
25%
33%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2022 |
MEL
3 - 1
MFC
44%
27%
30%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
MEL
1 - 0
CCM
47%
25%
28%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Western United FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
SYD
3 - 0
WUF
47%
27%
25%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
WUF
2 - 2
MCI
36%
24%
40%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
WUF
2 - 1
NEW
53%
25%
22%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
PER
0 - 2
WUF
48%
26%
27%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2022 |
WUF
1 - 0
SYD
34%
28%
38%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +1 |