Melbourne Victory vs Western Sydney Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
29.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
1º
7º
2º
21
6º
11º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
31 | 51 |
1º
|
78% | |
|
|
3º
|
25 | 43 |
2º
|
25.5% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 42 |
3º
|
18% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 42 |
4º
|
14.5% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 40 |
5º
|
14% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 38 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
21 | 38 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 38 |
8º
|
19.5% | |
|
1º
|
33 | 38 |
9º
|
9% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 34 |
10º
|
39.5% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 24 |
11º
|
65% | |
|
12º
|
10 | 18 |
12º
|
44% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 17 |
13º
|
51% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
36% | 8% |
|
Next round
|
47% | 29% |
|
Mid-table
|
17% | 63% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melbourne Victory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2025 |
AFC
0 - 0
MEL
18%
24%
58%
|
74 | 20 | 54 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2024 |
SYD
3 - 0
MEL
46%
25%
29%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
MEL
1 - 1
MCI
39%
26%
35%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
MEL
2 - 0
PER
67%
20%
13%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
WUF
1 - 3
MEL
25%
26%
49%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Western Sydney Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2025 |
WES
2 - 3
MFC
47%
24%
29%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2024 |
ADE
2 - 3
WES
49%
23%
28%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
WES
4 - 1
WPH
42%
26%
33%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
WES
2 - 2
BRI
58%
22%
20%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
MCI
0 - 2
WES
56%
22%
21%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +2 |