Melbourne Victory vs Western Sydney Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
26.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
1º
6º
1º
21
1º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
24 | 48 |
1º
|
31% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 46 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
2º
|
24 | 46 |
3º
|
18% | |
|
|
3º
|
21 | 45 |
4º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 43 |
5º
|
14.5% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 39 |
6º
|
17% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 37 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 36 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 36 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 29 |
10º
|
32% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 23 |
11º
|
33.5% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 22 |
12º
|
46.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
31% | 12.5% |
|
Next round
|
63.5% | 72.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
5.5% | 15% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melbourne Victory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
MEL
0 - 0
BRI
57%
23%
20%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
WPH
1 - 0
MEL
43%
25%
32%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
MEL
2 - 1
MCI
41%
25%
34%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
MEL
2 - 1
PER
61%
22%
17%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2024 |
WUF
2 - 2
MEL
30%
26%
44%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Western Sydney Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
WES
1 - 2
MCI
34%
25%
41%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
SYD
2 - 1
WES
49%
24%
27%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
WES
1 - 2
BRI
53%
24%
23%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
MFC
1 - 3
WES
45%
24%
31%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
PER
1 - 2
WES
35%
24%
41%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |