Melbourne Victory vs Western Sydney Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
47.8%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melbourne Victory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
MCI
7 - 0
MEL
70%
19%
11%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
NEW
1 - 2
MEL
52%
24%
24%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
MEL
0 - 3
SYD
20%
24%
56%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
CCM
1 - 1
MEL
55%
22%
23%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
WPH
4 - 1
MEL
54%
23%
23%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Western Sydney Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2021 |
WES
1 - 2
BRI
49%
25%
26%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
ADE
1 - 1
WES
51%
24%
25%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2021 |
WES
2 - 2
CCM
54%
24%
23%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
BRI
1 - 1
WES
35%
25%
40%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2021 |
MCI
4 - 1
WES
51%
24%
25%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |