Melbourne Victory vs Western Sydney Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
24.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melbourne Victory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2014 |
TUG
0 - 6
MEL
5%
11%
84%
|
72 | 16 | 56 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
ADE
1 - 0
MEL
45%
24%
31%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2014 |
BAY
0 - 2
MEL
6%
12%
83%
|
72 | 32 | 40 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2014 |
POR
0 - 5
MEL
5%
11%
85%
|
72 | 19 | 53 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2014 |
HUM
1 - 4
MEL
5%
13%
83%
|
72 | 24 | 48 | 0 |
Matches
Western Sydney Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2014 |
WES
2 - 0
FCS
52%
24%
24%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2014 |
FCS
0 - 0
WES
66%
18%
15%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2014 |
GUA
2 - 1
WES
82%
11%
7%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2014 |
WES
1 - 0
GUA
25%
23%
52%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2014 |
ADE
1 - 0
WES
7%
15%
78%
|
74 | 20 | 54 | 0 |