Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
18.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melbourne Victory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2016 |
MEL
0 - 2
MCI
52%
22%
27%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
ADE
1 - 2
MEL
40%
25%
35%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
MEL
1 - 4
MCI
53%
22%
25%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2016 |
BRI
1 - 1
MEL
38%
25%
37%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2016 |
BEN
0 - 2
MEL
6%
12%
82%
|
76 | 42 | 34 | +1 |
Matches
Wellington Phoenix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
WPH
0 - 1
SYD
31%
26%
42%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
PER
2 - 0
WPH
62%
20%
17%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
WPH
0 - 1
MCI
33%
27%
40%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2016 |
WPH
2 - 3
WES
36%
25%
39%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
WPH
0 - 2
WES
34%
28%
38%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | -1 |