Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
21%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melbourne Victory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
SYD
3 - 3
MEL
38%
25%
38%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
MEL
3 - 0
MCI
59%
20%
21%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
PER
3 - 3
MEL
41%
25%
34%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2015 |
WES
1 - 2
MEL
35%
25%
40%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2015 |
MEL
1 - 2
PER
52%
24%
24%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Wellington Phoenix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
WPH
2 - 2
NEW
60%
23%
18%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
WPH
0 - 0
MCI
48%
26%
26%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
WES
2 - 0
WPH
39%
29%
33%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2015 |
BRI
3 - 2
WPH
43%
26%
31%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
WPH
3 - 0
BRI
46%
26%
29%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |