Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
26.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melbourne Victory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
SYD
1 - 0
MEL
46%
26%
28%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
MEL
1 - 3
NEW
56%
24%
21%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
GOL
1 - 1
MEL
40%
28%
33%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
BRI
3 - 2
MEL
53%
24%
24%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2012 |
MEL
2 - 1
CCM
40%
26%
34%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Wellington Phoenix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
MEL
1 - 1
WPH
44%
29%
27%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
WPH
2 - 0
GOL
59%
23%
19%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
SYD
0 - 1
WPH
49%
26%
25%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
CCM
2 - 0
WPH
51%
26%
24%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
WPH
0 - 2
BRI
45%
25%
30%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |