Melbourne Victory vs Sydney FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
27.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melbourne Victory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2015 |
MEL
3 - 0
MCI
64%
19%
18%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
MEL
3 - 1
CCM
69%
19%
12%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | -2 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
BRI
1 - 2
MEL
35%
25%
40%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2015 |
BRI
1 - 2
MEL
35%
25%
40%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2015 |
MEL
0 - 1
NEW
72%
17%
10%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Sydney FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2015 |
SYD
4 - 1
ADE
52%
24%
24%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
WPH
1 - 2
SYD
41%
26%
34%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2015 |
NEW
3 - 4
SYD
27%
26%
48%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2015 |
PER
0 - 3
SYD
46%
24%
30%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
SYD
0 - 1
ADE
48%
25%
28%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |