Melbourne Victory vs Sydney FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
23.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melbourne Victory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2014 |
CCM
0 - 3
MEL
31%
26%
43%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2014 |
MEL
3 - 2
ADE
46%
25%
29%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2014 |
MEL
1 - 0
BRI
53%
24%
24%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
SYD
0 - 0
MEL
43%
24%
33%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
NEW
2 - 2
MEL
34%
26%
41%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Sydney FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2014 |
SYD
1 - 2
PER
48%
25%
28%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
WES
1 - 1
SYD
45%
25%
31%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
MCI
1 - 2
SYD
52%
23%
26%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
SYD
0 - 0
MEL
43%
24%
33%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2014 |
ADE
0 - 0
SYD
50%
25%
26%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |