Melbourne Victory vs Sydney FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
22.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melbourne Victory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
PER
0 - 1
MEL
41%
25%
34%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
MEL
1 - 1
CCM
45%
26%
29%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
MEL
2 - 0
WPH
54%
24%
22%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2013 |
WES
2 - 1
MEL
50%
23%
28%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2012 |
MEL
3 - 2
NEW
62%
22%
17%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Sydney FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
SYD
7 - 1
WPH
49%
26%
25%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
SYD
2 - 1
MEL
50%
26%
24%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
PER
2 - 2
SYD
50%
24%
25%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2012 |
ADE
3 - 0
SYD
51%
25%
24%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 2012 |
SYD
1 - 0
CCM
36%
27%
38%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | +1 |