Melbourne Victory vs Sydney FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
24.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melbourne Victory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
PER
4 - 1
MEL
37%
26%
37%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2012 |
MEL
1 - 1
ADE
49%
26%
26%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
MEL
2 - 1
NEW
60%
23%
17%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2012 |
CCM
2 - 0
MEL
49%
25%
26%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Dec. 2011 |
BRI
3 - 1
MEL
47%
25%
28%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sydney FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
SYD
2 - 1
GOL
47%
27%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2012 |
SYD
1 - 1
PER
52%
25%
23%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
BRI
2 - 1
SYD
58%
23%
19%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
SYD
0 - 1
CCM
36%
27%
37%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2012 |
WPH
4 - 2
SYD
51%
25%
24%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |