Melbourne Victory vs Sydney FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
22.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melbourne Victory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2011 |
JEJ
1 - 1
MEL
48%
25%
27%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2011 |
MEL
1 - 1
GAM
31%
24%
45%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2011 |
MEL
2 - 1
TIT
46%
26%
28%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2011 |
TIT
1 - 1
MEL
51%
24%
25%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2011 |
MEL
1 - 2
JEJ
49%
25%
26%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sydney FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2011 |
KAA
2 - 1
SYD
65%
20%
15%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2011 |
SUW
3 - 1
SYD
53%
24%
23%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2011 |
SHA
2 - 3
SYD
55%
23%
22%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2011 |
SYD
0 - 3
KAA
32%
27%
41%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2011 |
SYD
1 - 1
SHA
45%
26%
29%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |